Specifically, Pennsylvania, Michigan & Wisconsin. Three months out, Biden seems to have the edge (8-10% lead in all three); what would have to happen for these to swing back to Trump?
If Biden does win these three, does Trump have any real path to winning?
(Clearly, Ohio is also very much in play - for this exercise, lets just assume it falls to Trump again.)
2016, by county:
270 To Win’s “consensus” map for 2020:
I feel for all y’all living in any battleground state these next few months...