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[politics] Rust Belt

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Specifically, Pennsylvania, Michigan & Wisconsin. Three months out, Biden seems to have the edge (8-10% lead in all three); what would have to happen for these to swing back to Trump?

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If Biden does win these three, does Trump have any real path to winning?

(Clearly, Ohio is also very much in play - for this exercise, lets just assume it falls to Trump again.)

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2016:

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2016, by county:

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270 To Win’s “consensus” map for 2020:

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Recent polls:

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I feel for all y’all living in any battleground state these next few months...

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